Galaxy Securities: Pay attention to the investment opportunities in the fields of pig breeding and broiler breeding. The Galaxy Securities Research Report pointed out that: 1. Pig breeding: the loss of outsourcing piglet breeding has expanded. Based on the function value of fertile sows and MSY framework, the operation judgment of pig price in 2024 was basically verified. With regard to the trend of pig price in 2025, the annual average price runs relatively smoothly, and the difference lies in the continuous optimization of the total cost of excellent pig enterprises, which brings more than expected breeding profits. In addition, the impact point of the pig price in 2025 lies in the impact of the current winter climate change on the epidemic situation, which needs to be continuously tracked. It is suggested to pay attention to pig enterprises with leading/continuous improvement in cost control industry, relatively healthy funds and reasonable valuation. 2. Broiler breeding: 1) Yellow feather chicken: Many factors, such as low production capacity, may push up the price of yellow chicken, and the cost advantage of the head enterprise will be superimposed on the price to improve, and the profit elasticity has an advantage. It is recommended to pay attention to Lihua shares. 2) White feather chicken: In early December, avian influenza broke out in Oklahoma and New Zealand. New Zealand has announced that it will stop exporting poultry products; The introduction of Oklahoma, the only introduction state in the United States, is expected to be blocked. According to Boya Hexun, the domestic Anweijie poultry farm has received a notice of suspension of introduction; In other respects, the amount of seeds available in France and the reopening time of other States in the United States are still uncertain. If the production capacity of ancestral white chickens in China is reduced or the introduction is stopped due to the influence of overseas avian influenza, the industry boom cycle is expected to go up, and it is suggested to pay attention to the plate.CITIC Securities: The main line of the anti-monopoly investigation on domestic chips in NVIDIA is clear. According to the CITIC Securities Research Report, on December 9, 2024, the General Administration of Market Supervision launched an investigation on NVIDIA Company in accordance with the law, which is a legal management means to regulate and maintain fair market competition order, and has a leading role in the domestic chip industry, and is expected to boost domestic computing power and market sentiment of chips in a short time. In combination with the increasing emphasis on self-control by relevant domestic departments and industry associations, we expect that the overall localization pace of domestic semiconductor industry is expected to be further accelerated, and the manufacturing link is also expected to benefit.The introduction of detailed measures for the supervision of centralized drug consumables emphasizes the priority of using the selected products. Recently, the Notice of the National Health and Health Committee of the National Medical Insurance Bureau on Improving the Working Mechanism of Centralized Drug Purchasing and Implementation put forward detailed measures to strengthen the supervision of the admission, use, monitoring and assessment of centralized drug consumables. The local authorities are required to conduct investigations from the third month after centralized procurement, and urge medical institutions to give priority to the use of selected products and rationally manage the use of non-selected drugs. Emphasis is placed on the dynamic monitoring of the online price and purchase volume of centralized varieties, and institutions that fail to complete the agreed purchase volume will be regarded as unqualified. It is required to improve the provincial consultation mechanism for centralized procurement, ensure stable supply, and at the same time promote comprehensive supervision in coordination, curb unhealthy practices, and promote the priority use of selected drugs and consumables. (Official WeChat official account of the National Medical Insurance Bureau)
A new cold air comes with rain and snow to cool down, and the chill in the north aggravates the humidity and coldness in the south. Today (December 10th), a new strong cold air comes, and most parts of China will experience obvious cooling. The number of areas in the north that are below freezing point all day is increasing, and the chill is aggravated. The highest temperature in many places in the south will drop to single digits, accompanied by rainy, wet and cold feeling. At the same time, the range of rain and snow in China is still relatively wide today. The snowfall in the north will gradually decrease tomorrow and the rain in the south will continue and will gradually press south.Australia's business confidence has fallen sharply, and the economic outlook is not optimistic. Australia's business confidence index fell sharply in November, and the current situation index measuring employment, sales and profitability has further weakened, once again indicating that the private sector in the economy is facing heavy pressure. According to a survey released by the National Bank of Australia on Tuesday, the business confidence index dropped by 8 points to -3, reversing the gains in October. The status quo index dropped from 7 to 2. "Overall, the survey shows that growth continued to be weak in the fourth quarter," the bank said in the report. As the capacity utilization rate is still above average, it may take more time for price pressure to fully return to normal. The Reserve Bank of Australia will announce its last interest rate decision this year in a few hours, and it is almost certain that the policy interest rate will remain at a 13-year high of 4.35%. Last week's data showed that Australia's GDP was weak again in the third quarter, prompting traders to advance their expectations of interest rate cuts from May next year to April.The overall scale of bonus ETF exceeds 71.1 billion yuan, leading the products to exceed 20 billion yuan. As the largest dividend ETF at present, on December 6, the scale of Huatai Bairui bonus ETF rose to 20.121 billion yuan, becoming the first dividend ETF to exceed 20 billion yuan. According to the data, the product takes the dividend index of Shanghai Stock Exchange as the benchmark for performance comparison and adopts the investment strategy of complete replication method. As of December 9, the product had a floating profit of 18.21% during the year. According to the reporter's incomplete statistics, as of December 9, 13 bonus ETFs have been newly established this year (excluding QDII funds, Hong Kong Stock Connect and other overseas products). On the whole, there are 37 bonus ETF products with a market size of 71.185 billion yuan. In the current market environment, dividend investment strategy has strong appeal. (Securities Daily)
Twenty-four companies disclosed the progress of repurchase. Hikvision, 800 million Time and Space, and Jade Bird had the highest amount of fire repurchase plans. On December 10th, a total of 24 companies issued stock repurchase announcements. Among them, seven companies disclosed the stock repurchase plan for the first time, one company's repurchase plan was approved by the shareholders' meeting, four companies disclosed the implementation progress of stock repurchase, and 12 companies' repurchase plans have been implemented. Judging from the initial disclosure of the repurchase plan, the amount of stock repurchase plans of four companies on that day exceeded 10 million. Hikvision, 800 million Time and Space, and Jade Bird have the highest repurchase plans, and they are planned to repurchase no more than 2.5 billion yuan, 100 million yuan and 86.1216 million yuan respectively. Judging from the repurchase plan passed by the shareholders' meeting, a total of one company's repurchase plan exceeded 10 million on that day. Henghui Security has the highest repurchase amount, and it is planned to repurchase no more than 60 million yuan.Galaxy Securities: Domestic policies may continue to increase, and metal prices are expected to go up. china galaxy Securities said that on the demand side, the domestic package of economic incremental policies played a significant role. In November, China's manufacturing PMI rose to 50.30%, which was in the expansion range for two consecutive months, and the expansion pace was slightly accelerated. The domestic central economic work conference is just around the corner, and it is expected to put forward more positive incremental policy instructions for the economy next year, continue to raise the expectation of macro-recovery, and benefit the rise of copper prices. In addition, the new non-agricultural data in November in the United States reflected that the negative impact of hurricanes and strikes dissipated, but the number of new jobs in the first two months was revised up and the unemployment rate rose, which made the market worry about weak employment. After the data was released, traders increased their bets on the Fed's interest rate cut in December. It is expected that the possibility of the Fed's interest rate cut in December will rise from 67% before the report was released to 85%, and now it has risen to 86%. However, China's central bank once again increased its holdings of gold by nearly 5 tons after half a year in November, indicating that the logic and willingness of global central banks to increase their holdings of gold are still there in the current geopolitical turmoil. The expected warming of interest rate cuts, the central bank's continued increase in gold holdings, and the recent short-term martial law in South Korea and the escalating conflict between Russia and Ukraine are expected to jointly support the price of gold.In October, China's corporate credit index was 158.83 points, and the trend of steady improvement continued to consolidate. The General Administration of Market Supervision announced today (10th) that in October, 2024, China's corporate credit index was 158.83 points, up 0.47 points from September, and the steady improvement of corporate credit level continued to consolidate. Regionally, the top five provinces and cities in the credit index are Beijing, Anhui, Jiangsu, Zhejiang and Shaanxi. From the perspective of industry, the index of accommodation and catering industry increased the most. In addition, the ranking of scientific research and technical service industry index has improved significantly, and it entered the top 5 of the index for the first time this year. The ranking of leasing and business services rose by two places, reaching a new high this year.